Saturday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (7-4, 0-0 Sun Belt) and Georgia State Panthers (4-7, 0-0 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 78-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Troy, so it should be a lopsided matchup. The game will tip off at 2:00 PM ET on December 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Troy. The over/under is listed at 146.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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Troy vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -11.5
• Point total: 146.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -952, Georgia State +590

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Troy vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 78, Georgia State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Georgia State

• Pick ATS: Georgia State (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (146.5)

Troy has put together a 6-3-0 record against the spread this season, while Georgia State is 5-5-0. The Trojans have a 5-4-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Panthers have a record of 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 148.2 points per game, 1.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 75.3 points per game (199th in college basketball) while allowing 67.3 per outing (83rd in college basketball). They have a +88 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by eight points per game.
• Troy is 106th in the nation at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 6.4 more than the 28.1 its opponents average.
• Troy makes 6.4 three-pointers per game (306th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.9 on average.
• The Trojans average 93.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (241st in college basketball), and give up 83.4 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
• Troy has committed 15.4 turnovers per game (355th in college basketball play) while forcing 14.7 (44th in college basketball).

Georgia State Performance Insights

• The Panthers have a -78 scoring differential, falling short by 7.1 points per game. They’re putting up 72.9 points per game, 247th in college basketball, and are giving up 80 per outing to rank 344th in college basketball.
• Georgia State pulls down 36.2 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball) while conceding 31.1 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.1 boards per game.
• Georgia State knocks down 1.3 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 6.7 (284th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.
• Georgia State has committed 12.9 turnovers per game (285th in college basketball), 3.1 more than the 9.8 it forces (327th in college basketball).

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