Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Troy vs. Arkansas State Game – Saturday, Oct. 26

Published 9:24 pm Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Sun Belt rivals will do battle when the Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) face the Troy Trojans (1-6) at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. In the column below, we have best bets and tips to help you make informed betting decisions.

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When and Where is Troy vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 29, Troy 20
  • Arkansas State is -292 on the moneyline, and Troy is +230.
  • Arkansas State has been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
  • The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -292 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
  • Troy has been the underdog in four games this season, and it has failed to win any of those contests.
  • This season, the Trojans have been at least a +230 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
  • The Red Wolves have an implied moneyline win probability of 74.5% in this game.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (-7.5)

  • Against the spread, Arkansas State is 3-3-0 this season.
  • In 2024, the Red Wolves are winless ATS when entering a game as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
  • Troy has two wins versus the spread in seven games this year.
  • The Trojans have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in four chances).

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (50.5)
  • Arkansas State and its opponents have combined to go over Saturday’s over/under of 50.5 points three times this season.
  • In the Troy’s seven games this season, four have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s over/under of 50.5.
  • The total for the matchup of 50.5 is 8.9 points more than the combined points per game averages for Arkansas State (22.6 points per game) and Troy (19 points per game).

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Key Stats Splits

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 64 55.6
Implied Total AVG 35.5 35 35.8
ATS Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 0-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 49.1 49.8
Implied Total AVG 32 31 33.3
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

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