James Spann says clear skies midweek, Friday and weekend weather ‘clear as mud’

Published 10:02 pm Monday, October 21, 2019

Meteorologist James Spann reports the wet weather will clear offering cooler, autumn weather midweek, but the weekend’s forecast is far less certain.

MIDWEEK: The sky will clear from west to east after midnight, and the weather will be dry and very pleasant Tuesday through Thursday — sunny days, fair nights, highs in the low 70s and lows mostly in the low to mid 40s. Perfect autumn weather.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather picture for Alabama remains about as clear as mud on these three days because of large model differences and inconsistencies. Models differ on how to handle an upper wave west of the state, but both suggest periods of rain are likely Friday, possibly Friday night. Then the divergence begins. The American global model (GFS) shows dry and pleasant weather Saturday and Sunday, while the European global model (ECMWF) suggests occasional rain and a few thunderstorms need to be in the forecast both days.

As we often point out here, the European model tends to perform better three to seven days out, and we will lean toward the wetter solution for now and maintain some risk of rain for Saturday and Sunday in our forecast package. But I would not change plans or be too worried if you have something planned outdoors right now, since this forecast can and probably will change. We’ll get better clarity through the week.

NEXT WEEK: For now Monday and Tuesday look dry, but a cold front will bring some risk of showers Wednesday, followed by much cooler air.

Republished from the Alabama News Center.